Abstract
The urban transformation of the developing world
Montgomery,Mark R.
Science 319(5864): 761-764
Publication date: 2008
Sometime in the next 20 to 30 years, developing countries inAsia and Africa are likely to cross a historic threshold, joiningLatin America in having a majority of urban residents. The urbandemographic transformation is described here, with an emphasison estimates and forecasts of urban population aggregates. Toprovide policy-makers with useful scientific guidance in theupcoming urban era, demographic researchers will need to refinetheir data sets to include spatial factors as well as urbanvital rates and to make improvements to forecasting methodscurrently in use.
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