December 2006

The Aftermath of the Population Explosion

By the year 2050, the global demographic transformation that began after World War II will have resulted in a vast expansion in human numbers and the emergence of a low-fertility, highly urbanized, and increasingly elderly world population.

Meanwhile, however, variations in the timing, nature, and pace of change among countries and cultures are giving rise to striking contrasts in demographic conditions—in relative population sizes, in the pace of rural exodus and city growth, in international migration pressures, and in dependency burdens created by the very young, very old, or very ill.

Interacting with inequalities in economic performance and with mounting environmental threats, these demographic contrasts are an entrenched source of international tension and political conflict. The resulting challenges posed for national governments and international institutions, and the responses those bodies have arrived at or must now formulate, are the subject of The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950–2050.

A supplement to the Population Council’s quarterly Population and Development Review (PDR), the book was edited by PDR editor and Council Distinguished Scholar Paul Demeny and senior associate Geoffrey McNicoll.

Essays assembled in the book look back to the experience of the second half of the twentieth century and forward to 2050.

Financial support for the volume was provided by the Rockefeller Foundation.

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10 December 2006