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No. 65, 1994 Li, Jiali. "China's family planning program: How, and how well, did it work?" Policy Research Division Working Paper no. 65. New York: Population Council. Abstract Using data from the 1988 Two-per-Thousand National Fertility Survey in Hebei Province, which surrounds Beijing, this study addresses the question of how, and how well, the family planning program in China worked during 1979 to 1988, the first decade of the one-child policy. Even though the Chinese government developed such strong policy measures as a birth-quota system, one-child certificate incentives, and various punishments to promote the one-child policy, the measures were implemented unevenly over time and among two groups of people according to type of household registration. China's family planning program worked only among women with a type 2 registration, who were under greater government control. The policy measures overwhelmingly outweighed the effects of socioeconomic and cultural factors on women's likelihood of having a child beyond the first parity. However, the one-child policy was not as effective as expected for the majority of Chinese women, who were registered as type 1 and lived under less government control. They continued to have more than one child. Multivariate analysis reveals that son preference strongly affected the probability of their having a second and third child, even more strongly than did education, urbanization, and policy measures. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
