Population Council Research that makes a difference

Geoffrey McNicoll, Ph.D.

Senior Associate

Geoffrey McNicoll, senior associate in the Population Council's Distinguished Colleagues unit, is co-editor of Population and Development Review. His main research interests are the comparative analysis of demographic regimes, economic and political demography, and population policy. Current research is on government roles in demographic change in strong and weak states.

McNicoll has a B.Sc. from the University of Melbourne, Australia, and a Ph.D. in demography from the University of California, Berkeley. He was a research associate at the East-West Population Institute, Honolulu, and subsequently held various posts in the Population Council's Center for Policy Studies. From 1988 to 2000 he was a professor in the Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, Canberra, since 1994 combining this post with his position at the Council. He has also worked in the Central Bureau of Statistics, Jakarta, and at the National Planning Association, Washington, DC.

Geoffrey McNicoll, Ph.D.

Senior Associate

A demographic perspective on Japan's 'Lost Decades'  (PDF) 
Aoki,Reiko; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 103-112
Publication date: 2012

Cross-sections are history  (PDF) 
Easterlin,Richard A.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 302-308
Publication date: 2012

Demographic metabolism: A predictive theory of socioeconomic change  (PDF) 
Lutz,Wolfgang; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 283-301
Publication date: 2012

Fertility and population policy in Algeria: Discrepancies between planning and outcomes  (PDF) 
Ouadah-Bedidi,Zahia; Vallin,Jacques; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 179-196
Publication date: 2012

Fertility transition: Is sub-Saharan Africa different?  (PDF) 
Bongaarts,John; Casterline,John B.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 153-168
Publication date: 2012

Intergenerational transfers, the biological life cycle, and human society  (PDF) 
Lee,Ronald D.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 23-35
Publication date: 2012

Low fertility in historical perspective  (PDF) 
Livi Bacci,Massimo; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 72-82
Publication date: 2012

National wealth  (PDF) 
Dasgupta,Partha; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 243-264
Publication date: 2012

On demographic and democratic transitions  (PDF) 
Dyson,Tim; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 83-102
Publication date: 2012

Patriarchal demographics? China's sex ratio reconsidered  (PDF) 
Greenhalgh,Susan; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 130-149
Publication date: 2012

Peak farmland and the prospect for land sparing  (PDF) 
Ausubel,Jesse H.; Wernick,Iddo K.; Waggoner,Paul E.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38 (15), pp. 217-238
Publication date: 2012

Population and Public Policy: Essays in Honor of Paul Demeny  (HTML) 
Publication date: 2012

Population change among the elderly: International patterns  (PDF) 
Stokes,Andrew; Preston,Samuel H.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 309-321
Publication date: 2012

Population, policy, and politics: How will history judge China's one-child policy?  (PDF) 
Feng,Wang; Cai,Yong; Gu,Baochang; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 115-129
Publication date: 2012

Reflections on post-transition demography  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 3-19
Publication date: 2012

The French school of demography: Contextualizing demographic analysis  (PDF) 
Petit,Veronique; Charbit,Yves; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 322-333
Publication date: 2012

The intergenerational welfare state  (PDF) 
Folbre,Nancy; Wolf,Douglas A.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 36-51
Publication date: 2012

The last eighty years: Continuities and change  (PDF) 
Smil,Vaclav; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 265-279
Publication date: 2012

The recent fertility transition in Rwanda  (PDF) 
Westoff,Charles F.; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 169-178
Publication date: 2012

The twilight of the census  (PDF) 
Coleman,David; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 334-351
Publication date: 2012

Why demographic suicide? The puzzles of European fertility  (PDF) 
Pritchett,Lant; Viarengo,Martina; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 55-71
Publication date: 2012

Working misunderstandings: Donors, brokers, and villagers in Africa's AIDS industry  (PDF) 
Watkins,Susan Cotts; Swidler,Ann; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bongaarts,John; Churchill,Ethel
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 38, pp. 197-218
Publication date: 2012

Achievers and laggards in demographic transition: A comparison of Indonesia and Nigeria  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Lee,Ronald D.; Reher,David Sven
supplement to Population and Development Review, vol. 37, pp. 191-214
Publication date: 2011

Legacy, policy, and circumstance in fertility transition  (abstract) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 35(4): 777-795
Publication date: 2009

Review of Michel Foucault, Security, Territory, Population: Lectures at the Collège de France, 1977-78; translated by Graham Burchell 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 33(4): 829-831
Publication date: 2007

Review of World Bank, Global Economic Prospects 2007: Managing the Next Wave of Globalization 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 33(1): 190-192
Publication date: 2007

Taking stock of population studies: A review essay on Graziella Caselli, Jacques Vallin, and Guillaume Wunsch (eds.), Demography: Analysis and Synthesis 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 33(3): 607-615
Publication date: 2007

Demographic dimensions of China's development 
Vermeer,Eduard B.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 115-144
Publication date: 2006

Europe's demographic future: Determinants, dimensions, and challenges 
Coleman,David; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 52-95
Publication date: 2006

India: Population change and its consequences 
Lal,Deepak; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 145-182
Publication date: 2006

Managing a world on the move 
Zolberg,Aristide R.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 222-253
Publication date: 2006

Policy lessons of the East Asian demographic transition  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 210)
Publication date: 2006

Policy lessons of the East Asian demographic transition  (abstract) (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 32(1): 1-25
Publication date: 2006

Population and the natural environment: Trends and challenges 
McNeill,J.R.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 183-201
Publication date: 2006

Review of William Easterly, The White Man's Burden: Why the West's Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 32(2): 376-378
Publication date: 2006

Seeking sustainability: Cities, countryside, wilderness 
Victor,David G.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 202-221
Publication date: 2006

The political demography of the world system, 2000-2050  (PDF) 
Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 213)
Publication date: 2006

The political demography of the world system, 2000-2050 
Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 254-287
Publication date: 2006

The political economy of African population change 
Clapham,Christopher; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 96-114
Publication date: 2006

The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050  (HTML) 
Publication date: 2006

World population 1950-2050: Perception and response 
Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Political Economy of Global Population Change, 1950-2050, pp. 1-51
Publication date: 2006

Population and sustainability  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 205)
Publication date: 2005

Review of Emmanuel Todd, After the Empire: The Breakdown of the American Order, translated by C. Jon Delogu 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 31(1): 178-180
Publication date: 2005

Review of Gordon H. Sellon, Jr. (ed.), Global Demographic Change: Economic Impacts and Policy Challenges; A Symposium Sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 26-28, 2004 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 31(4): 776-778
Publication date: 2005

Demographic future of East Asian regional integration 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Pempel,T.J.
from Remapping East Asia: The Construction of a Region, pp. 55-74
Publication date: 2004

Introduction: Australia's population history and prospects 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Khoo,Siew Ean; McDonald,Peter
from The Transformation of Australia's Population: 1970-2030, pp. 1-16
Publication date: 2004

Review of Alberto Alesina and Enrico Spolaore, The Size of Nations 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 30(1): 168-170
Publication date: 2004

Review of Peter Singer, One World: The Ethics of Globalization 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 30(3): 552-555
Publication date: 2004

Adolescent fertility 
Mensch,Barbara S.; Singh,Susheela; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 14-16
Publication date: 2003

Causal analysis in the population sciences: A symposium--Introduction 
Bachrach,Christine; McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 29(3): 443-447
Publication date: 2003

Demographic surveillance systems 
Phillips,James F.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 204-206
Publication date: 2003

Demographic transition 
Casterline,John B.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 210-216
Publication date: 2003

Demographic transition 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Mokyr,Joel
from The Oxford Encyclopedia of Economic History, pp. 71-74
Publication date: 2003

Education 
Lloyd,Cynthia B.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 278-283
Publication date: 2003

Encyclopedia of Population 
Publication date: 2003

Modern methods of contraception 
Segal,Sheldon J.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 170-174
Publication date: 2003

Population and development: An introductory view  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 174)
Publication date: 2003

Population and development: An introductory view [Arabic]  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 174)
Publication date: 2003

Spontaneous abortion 
Segal,Sheldon J.; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 913-914
Publication date: 2003

Demographic factors in East Asian regional integration  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 158)
Publication date: 2002

Managing population-environment systems: Problems of institutional design 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Lutz,Wolfgang; Prskawetz,Alexia; Sanderson,Warren C.
from Population and Environment: Methods of Analysis,, pp. 144-164
Publication date: 2002

Review of Patrick J. Buchanan, The Death of the West: How Dying Populations and Immigrant Invasions Imperil Our Country and Civilization 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 28(4): 797-800
Publication date: 2002

Review of Zdenèk Pavlík (ed.), Position of Demography Among Other Disciplines 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population Studies 56(1): 114-115
Publication date: 2002

The world after demographic transition 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Cho,Lee-Jay
East Asian Economic Perspectives 13(special issue): 98-105
Publication date: 2002

Fertility, proximate determinants of 
Bongaarts,John; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from Encyclopedia of Population, pp. 412-417
Publication date: 2001

Fertility: Institutional and political approaches 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Smelser,Neil J.; Baltes,Paul B.
from International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences, pp. 5538-5543
Publication date: 2001

Government and fertility in transitional and post-transitional societies 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Bulatao,Rodolfo A.; Casterline,John B.
from Global Fertility Transition,, pp. 129-159
Publication date: 2001

IPAT (Impact, Population, Affluence, and Technology) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Smelser,Neil J.; Baltes,Paul B.
from International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences, pp. 7903-7906
Publication date: 2001

Review of Richard Leete (ed.), Dynamics of Values in Fertility Change 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population Studies 55(1): 97-99
Publication date: 2001

Managing population-environment systems: Problems of institutional design  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 139)
Publication date: 2000

Reflections on 'replacement migration'  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
People and Place 8(4): 1-12
Publication date: 2000

Population weights in the international order  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 126)
Publication date: 1999

Population weights in the international order  (abstract) (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 25(3): 411-442
Publication date: 1999

Review of Francis Fukuyama, The Great Disruption: Human Nature and the Reconstitution of Social Order 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 25(4): 793-795
Publication date: 1999

Can the growing human population feed itself? 
Bongaarts,John; Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
from The Earthscan Reader in Population and Development, pp. 306-312
Publication date: 1998

Government and fertility in transitional and post-transitional societies  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 113)
Publication date: 1998

Malthus for the twenty-first century  (abstract) (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 24(2): 309-316
Publication date: 1998

The Earthscan Reader in Population and Development (U.S. edition title: The Reader in Population and Development) 
Publication date: 1998

Population and poverty: A review and restatement  (PDF) 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 105)
Publication date: 1997

Review of John Leslie, The End of the World: The Science and Ethics of Human Extinction 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Population and Development Review 23(4): 905-908
Publication date: 1997

The governance of fertility transition: Reflections on the Asian experience 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Jones,Gavin W.; Douglas,Robert M.; Caldwell,John C.; D'Souza,Rennie M.
from The Continuing Demographic Transition, pp. 365-362
Publication date: 1997

Governance of fertility transition: Regularity and duress 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 85)
Publication date: 1996

Demography in the unmaking of civil society 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 79)
Publication date: 1995

On population growth and revisionism: Further questions 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 72)
Publication date: 1995

Institutional analysis of fertility 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 62)
Publication date: 1994

Malthusian scenarios and demographic catastrophism 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 49)
Publication date: 1993

The agenda of population studies: A commentary and complaint 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 42)
Publication date: 1992

Institutional effects on rural economic and demographic change 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Cain,Mead
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 14)
Publication date: 1990

Institutional effects on rural economic and demographic change 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Cain,Mead
from Rural Development and Population: Institutions and Policy,, pp. 3-42
Publication date: 1990

Land reform and family entrepreneurship in East Asia 
Greenhalgh,Susan; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Cain,Mead
from Rural Development and Population: Institutions and Policy,, pp. 77-118
Publication date: 1990

Rural development, population growth, and the international system 
Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey; Cain,Mead
from Rural Development and Population: Institutions and Policy,, pp. 345-365
Publication date: 1990

Social organization and ecological stability under demographic stress 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Cain,Mead
from Rural Development and Population: Institutions and Policy,, pp. 147-167
Publication date: 1990

Social organization and ecological stability under demographic stress 
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Policy Research Division Working Paper (no. 11)
Publication date: 1990

Rural Development and Population: Institutions and Policy 
Publication date: 1989

Economic growth with below-replacement fertility 
McNicoll,Geoffrey; Davis,Kingsley; Bernstam,Mikhail S.; Ricardo-Campbell,Rita
from Below-Replacement Fertility in Industrial Societies: Causes, Consequences, Policies,, pp. 217-238
Publication date: 1987

Geoffrey McNicoll, Ph.D.

Senior Associate

Legacy and policy in fertility transition: A comparative study of Indonesia and Nigeria (abstract) (PDF) 
Presentation at the XXVI IUSSP International Population Conference, Marrakech, 1 October
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Publication date: 2009

Lessons of the East Asian demographic transition  
Presentation at the XXVe Congrès International de la Population, Tours, France, July
McNicoll,Geoffrey
Publication date: 2005

The political demography of the world system: The next half century  
Presentation at the XXVe Congrès International de la Population, Tours, France, July
Demeny,Paul; McNicoll,Geoffrey
Publication date: 2005

Geoffrey McNicoll, Ph.D.

Senior Associate

Curriculum Vitae